Lok,
I'm not wagering anything (I dont think that would be fair to you) but the details of the wager sound interesting.
You do at least acknowledge that basically anything can happen. Perhaps the world will end tomorrow, as we know it. You even NOW recognize that she could be prosecuted. Good.
Look, Lok---this is already a prima facie case. This is already out of the barn simply on the sheer facts of the case.
Whether you want to recognize that this is historically significant it is popcorn popping ready made and enjoyable, prima facie enjoyable.
And it will come down to 18usc 793.
I dont think your belief that the new York times debunking this criminal case holds water. Because the FBI has confirmed illegal activity with regard to Hillary Clinton's government correspondence.
Remember the Republican establishment was going ahead full steam until the FBI concluded its " security investigations" of Richard Nixon. You should see what those odds that he would win again. 2 to 1.
Like you say Clinton is a sure thing to lock down the nomination right up until she isn't.

Such fun, lok right? More fun than the Donald's antics because this stuff matters right now. The Donald's gonna be around for a while. Clinton's time is nigh.
I love the banter, man.