How accurate is Chiashu?

[jiggedyjared]

How accurate do you all think Chiashu or LSAC.org are in predicting your chances.  My numbers go like this:

SMU: 15%
Texas Tech: 53%
Mercer: 32%
Arkansas: 35%
Gonzaga: 60%

Those are all the schools that I have still up in the air.  I was waitlisted at all of them.  So, I'd be interested to know what you guys think will be the level to which they will dip into their WL.

[Dunson II]

Most people say they get into nearly all the schools where they are 50% or better and rarely get in somewhere lower. 

[Geddon187]

Pretty accurate. I got into 2 schools that were around 40%, one with a half scholarship.

[jiggedyjared]

See... that's what I've heard too - that it's pretty accurate.  I've seen most people say that if you're over 50%, you're probably in.  If you're under 50%, you're probably out.  However, I've been waitlisted at 3 schools, deferred at 2, and accepted at none.  My Chiashu numbers are listed at the top.  Have I just been freaking out for no reason all day thinking that waitlists = delayed rejection.  In other words, does anyone know how deep schools (mine in particular if you have them or schools in general) dip into their waitlists and/or deferred candidates? 

[Happy_Weasel]

I, on the other hand only got into schools that are 70%. I got waitlisted at 2 50%ers. I considered contesting the rejections, but I am encouraged to stay where I am going.

[jiggedyjared]

Did you have any helpful factors, Geddon?

[yiplong]

chiashu was way off

[Happy_Weasel]

I guess, Chaisu tells you if you were a soft reject/accept.

[Dunson II]

chiashu was way off

You don't count, splitter.

[Dunson II]

I see waitlist as a delayed rejection, they are only going to need a handful of you probably.