See... that's what I've heard too - that it's pretty accurate. I've seen most people say that if you're over 50%, you're probably in. If you're under 50%, you're probably out. However, I've been waitlisted at 3 schools, deferred at 2, and accepted at none. My Chiashu numbers are listed at the top. Have I just been freaking out for no reason all day thinking that waitlists = delayed rejection. In other words, does anyone know how deep schools (mine in particular if you have them or schools in general) dip into their waitlists and/or deferred candidates?