New election projection 2006

[Happy_Weasel]

Current:
Senate: 44-1-55
House: 205-230
Governors: 22-28

Projected:
Senate- 48-1-51
House-  220-215
Governors- 29-21

Prognosis: The Republicans will have to learn to share power to regain political monopoly by 2008 or risk being overthrown after only a 14 year political majority. The average national party machine lasts 35 years:

Gilded Age Party Machine: 1876-1896
Cold War Democrats: 1954-1994

[aphrael]

What is your source for these numbers? Election Projection says its predictions are:

Senate: 53 REP / 46 DEM / 1 IND
House: 229 REP / 206 DEM
Governors: 23 REP / 27 DEM

[nesnut]

i'm guessing that the dems will pick up a few more seats- if the republicans continue sucking, and if they don't clean up on the immigration issue, they will def get hit hard

[Fidelio]

What is your source for these numbers? Election Projection says its predictions are:

Senate: 53 REP / 46 DEM / 1 IND
House: 229 REP / 206 DEM
Governors: 23 REP / 27 DEM

Anyone know the accuracy of that election projection site? 

[philibusters]

Umm, isn't it april, a bit early to be predicting elections.

[Freak]

Don't they have comparisons to previous election predictions?

[Silvermtn]

I don't see as much turnover as others are anticipating.  I see the Republicans losing 3 seats in the Senate-
                   Rhode Island ( Chaffee will either lose or change parties)
                   Pennsylvania
                   Montana

                   DeWine will barely hold on in Ohio

                 No Democrat incumbents will lose but the GOP will pickup an open seat in Minnesota which should bring the new Senate total to 53/46/1


The house should be close.  About 8 seats either way depending on the President's approval ratings come November.

[Happy_Weasel]

Isn't Kennedy losing right now in Minnesota?

DeWine is now only 3 points ahead according to Ras. Last time a GOPer was 3 points ahead, he lost. Also, Cantwell is doing pretty well, too.

I give it 49-1-50, at this point.