I had thoughts about pretty much everything you said, but I'll just respond to this: no.I go to a T20, and I know a number of people who had 170s, and a number of people who had 164s. Six points on the LSAT is a lot, right? That's the difference between #20 and #50, in your case.Anyway, trust me on this: just, no. You could probably say "modest chance" if you decided to go to a Tier 4. You can't say "modest chance" with anything less than a 15 point LSAT swing. 1) The LSAT is mostly horseshit; 2) four months of studying for an exam, plus all the little vagaries on law school tests, levels the playing field in spades.I'm not saying don't go to the #50. I'm just saying don't go there thinking you have any variety of a leg up on anybody.
But there are times when the ability to come up with solutions quickly is important. You don't always have control over your own timeframe unless you're the judge or something.
you can think quickly on your feet without getting 5 intentionally confusing options of what assumption your client/opponent is making...
Several of law school admission deans I talked to said they do not believe that LSAT is a better predictor of law school success than GPA, but they have to pay attention to LSAT because of USNWR.