Recently received my permanent offer and am very happy/excited/thankful, you name it.
Just to give some context for those who want to know: I spent my summer associateship in a major market at a large (250+) office of a national firm. This firm historically gives permanent offers (cold or otherwise, I'm just going by NALP) to the vast majority of its summer associates. From what I understand, the firm did not over hire for this summer.
Good luck guys!