This post is really f-ing stupid. Too stupid to be quoted, even.
For the first time since I became aware of your existence, something you said was funny.Congrats. I know you try real hard. Just know that it has paid off.
Slug -It's obvious you are new here (welcome). My ad-hominem attack is well deserved. Go read anything Julie has posted anywhere if you want to see a definition of ad-hominem. What I wrote was less an attack than a compliment.
So you know people who have participated in polls? Yes or no. I still haven't spoken to anyone that has actually participated. I am surrounded by professionals - mostly lawyers. Not one has taken part in a poll. I used to work at a fortune 500. My team was a fair representation of the average voter - some were rich, some were poor, some had lots of education, some had little. There were people from every background. Of the 15 or so on that team that I used to talk politics with, none had participated in a poll. So I will say it again - polls are relatively meaningless. They are a snapshot of a group of supposedly random people who agree to be polled and take the time to take the polls, some of which do so with malicious intent to skew the numbers. Scott Rasmussen was interviewed by a local talk host and he said 'even the a-holes should be represented'.
Don't make the mistake of interpreting my message as being anti-poll. It isn't. But like Scott Rasmussen, I understand that polls are a glimpse into a possibility and in no way are actual reliable predictors of anything. Polls are random. Some (i would wager quite a few) take the poll with either an intent to skew them or simply don't actually vote.The economy DOESN'T shut down nights and weekends. But the average single 9-5 employee is at work during the day. When they get home, most don't want to talk to pollsters. If you want to look at polls to try and predict trends or to try and see how a random group feels, that's okay. But it is clearly more intelligent to view those polls with a grain of salt. The most important poll we know of is the actual election, which as we both agree is relatively unpredictable.
My theory about housewives is that they tend to skew liberal. Most of us have priority issues. Some of us are single issue voters. The appeal to the lazy for Obama is palpable - he gets the most positive coverage and many in the media have decided to glorify his holiness and attack McCain. The fact is that many of us simply don't think the media has given McCain a fair shake. They pretend that they are hard on Palin because they feel it is important to vet candidates. Unfortunately for them, the facts bear out that these same media outlets all but refuse to vet Obama - to this day. Obama coverage tends to be favorable, forgiving, and chock full of spin while McCain coverage tends to be critical, harsh, and negative.
The NYT printed a column by Obama which contained no preconditions. When McCain responded with his own column, all of a sudden preconditions existed. The NYT leveled unproven allegations against Sarah Palin while ignoring unproven allegations about Obama and Biden. Hell, the NYT printed a ridiculous hit piece claiming McCain had an affair with a lobbyist. They knew their source was crap and that the story wasn't true. Did they print an investigation into Obama's ties with Rezko or Ayers? Nah, they ignored it until they decided to make excuses for these stories.And that's just the NYT.
What about CNN's coverage of the republican convention vs. the democratic conventions? CNN talked over speeched at the repub conventions and showed images of white people in suits. Contrast that to the dem's convention, where they showed celebrity after celebrity and ignored the minorities who were hidden in the wings. Then they complained about a lack of minorities at the repub convention, which they covered with an all-white male panel. It's theater.Polls are part of the theater. Leaders lead. Followers follow. The left seems to want to follow the polls. The right tends to resist it.
It's an observation, nothing more. The same points are being made. When I was SURE Kerry was going to win, I was one of those people who didn't understand how the polls showed he was up and the vote returned a different result. Think what you want, but this thing is going to be a close one, polls be damned.