Quote from: UnbiasedObserver on March 17, 2008, 02:55:39 PMQuote from: MahlerGrooves on March 17, 2008, 02:40:03 PMQuote from: devilishlyblue on March 17, 2008, 02:37:42 PMNo, we just think that the correlation isn't negative.Nor do we think that the correlation should be ignored simply in your case. AdComms are not psychic. They go with numbers because, MOST times, numbers are accurate.I might have said this 500,000 times, but I'll say it again: the LSAT and GPA only account for 25% of the variation in 1L grades.That means that 75% of the variation in grades is unaccounted for. So I don't know if we can really go as far to say that MOST times the numbers are accurate. They're a good tool to use, but I often feel that they are used a little too extensively. Say instead that they're more likely to be an indicator than a misleading indicator -- that is, that they're very unlikely to HARM your selection if the other 75% is hard to find.
Quote from: MahlerGrooves on March 17, 2008, 02:40:03 PMQuote from: devilishlyblue on March 17, 2008, 02:37:42 PMNo, we just think that the correlation isn't negative.Nor do we think that the correlation should be ignored simply in your case. AdComms are not psychic. They go with numbers because, MOST times, numbers are accurate.I might have said this 500,000 times, but I'll say it again: the LSAT and GPA only account for 25% of the variation in 1L grades.That means that 75% of the variation in grades is unaccounted for. So I don't know if we can really go as far to say that MOST times the numbers are accurate. They're a good tool to use, but I often feel that they are used a little too extensively.
Quote from: devilishlyblue on March 17, 2008, 02:37:42 PMNo, we just think that the correlation isn't negative.Nor do we think that the correlation should be ignored simply in your case. AdComms are not psychic. They go with numbers because, MOST times, numbers are accurate.
No, we just think that the correlation isn't negative.
Michigan has said that it's a deliberate decision not to interview because they're not useful. I can only imagine others agree.
One concern would be that interviews introduce subjectivity and other biases into the system -- you'd get discrimination against short people, people with speech impediments, etc. I'm most familiar with this in the context of professional sports, but there are a lot of situations in which overreliance on "scouting" rather than metrics actually makes your judgments about prospects worse, not better -- even though the numbers are still pathetically limited. It wouldn't surprise me if interviews cost that 25% without adding anything to replace it.
Quote from: devilishlyblue on March 17, 2008, 03:45:49 PMOne concern would be that interviews introduce subjectivity and other biases into the system -- you'd get discrimination against short people, people with speech impediments, etc. I'm most familiar with this in the context of professional sports, but there are a lot of situations in which overreliance on "scouting" rather than metrics actually makes your judgments about prospects worse, not better -- even though the numbers are still pathetically limited. It wouldn't surprise me if interviews cost that 25% without adding anything to replace it.I understand that there could be subjectivity, but that can be lessened if: a) the interviewers are trained to overcome biases; b) questions are prepared for each candidate that are standard, combined with questions that are specific based on the candidate; c) the school outlines specifically what to look for in an interview, along with what NOT to look for.
Quote from: UnbiasedObserver on March 17, 2008, 03:54:49 PMQuote from: devilishlyblue on March 17, 2008, 03:45:49 PMOne concern would be that interviews introduce subjectivity and other biases into the system -- you'd get discrimination against short people, people with speech impediments, etc. I'm most familiar with this in the context of professional sports, but there are a lot of situations in which overreliance on "scouting" rather than metrics actually makes your judgments about prospects worse, not better -- even though the numbers are still pathetically limited. It wouldn't surprise me if interviews cost that 25% without adding anything to replace it.I understand that there could be subjectivity, but that can be lessened if: a) the interviewers are trained to overcome biases; b) questions are prepared for each candidate that are standard, combined with questions that are specific based on the candidate; c) the school outlines specifically what to look for in an interview, along with what NOT to look for. All those would help, but that's basically suggesting that deep seated prejudices can be avoided if only you tell people not to. Short people, overweight people, people who speak slowly, people with poor fashion sense, people with quiet voices, people with frizzy hair... all these people currently benefit from a metrics-based system. Interviews would mostly serve to benefit those who look like television lawyers: six feet tall, booming voices, impeccable suits.