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Messages - absy

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51
Law School Applications / Re: The Chances Thread
« on: September 24, 2006, 12:16:48 AM »
Just to have another set of silly percentiles to worry about...

3.62/180.

your results will be very similar to the 3.6/178 above

52
Law School Applications / Re: The Chances Thread
« on: September 24, 2006, 12:15:52 AM »
4.0 GPA
165 LSAT
University of Florida undergrad


YH: out
Stanford: 5% accept, 15% WL
Columbia: 5% accept, 60% WL
NYU: 1/3 accept, 1/3 WL
Chi: 10% accept, 5% WL
Berk: 50% accept
Penn: 5% accept, 50% WL
Mich: 20% accept, 65% WL
UVA: 40% accept, 45% WL
Duke: 45% accept, 50% WL

53
Law School Applications / Re: The Chances Thread
« on: September 23, 2006, 11:51:09 PM »
what about a 3.14 160 Mexican American... for SMU, University of Houston, or Tulane?

sorry, I don't have data beyond the top 10 schools

54
Law School Applications / Re: The Chances Thread
« on: September 23, 2006, 11:50:30 PM »
3.61, 173 EE

thanks

YS: no
Harvard: 15% accept, 15% WL
Columbia: 70% accept, 15% WL
NYU: 90% accept
Chi: 60% accept
Berk: 35% accept, 10% WL

55
Law School Applications / Re: The Chances Thread
« on: September 23, 2006, 10:27:37 PM »
I know it could be that most accepted applicants are grouped closer to the 4.0 end of the scale, (LSN seems to bear this out) but doesn't Yale, according to the grid on their site, take the majority of their candidates from the 3.75+, 170-173 group?

Also, looking at LSN for the last two cycles (while acknowledging its shortcomings) reveals that there are quite a few accepted candidates whose GPAs fit comfortably into the 3.5- 3.7 range.  I guess my point is that when talking about generalities, which is what we're doing since we don't have access to softs, isn't a 3.75+, 173 candidate right in the middle of the sweet spot?  I'd think such a candidate is as likely, well as likely as "likely" is for Yale, as most other competitive cadidates.  At that point it's down to softs no?  I mean LSN turns up lots of stellar GPAs paired with competitive LSATs that were rejected. http://www.lawschoolnumbers.com/search_schools.php?action=search&cycle=3&school_code=0031&status=4&sort=gpa&order=d&status=4&application_type=0&program=1

Of course...I have no Yale insider info...and I'm pretty much just talking out of my ass...

the 3.75+ box is very misleading, since the vast majority of those accepts are coming from 3.85+ (their median was 3.88).

besides (judging from LSN), Yale seems to fill a significant portion of its class with 3.9+/173+ people, who have a 70% chance of admission.  numbers are still most of the equation.

56
Law School Applications / Re: The Chances Thread
« on: September 23, 2006, 10:10:41 PM »
Let's see you cringe at my splitter stats  8).... 2.83/173

I should make the caveat that this is a really difficult one to determine, but I'll try

YHS: no
Col: 2/3 waitlist (this may be an aberration of data)
NYU: 5% waitlist
Chi: 5% waitlist
Penn: 10% accept, 20% waitlist
Mich: 10% accept, 35% waitlist
UVA: 15% accept, 40% waitlist
Berk: no
Duke: 50% waitlist

sorry, I don't have info for the other schools.  you may have 50% odds at a place like Emory.

57
Law School Applications / Re: The Chances Thread
« on: September 23, 2006, 09:49:09 PM »
Might as well!

3.78, 173, Yale 250 of which I'm not very proud.

Yale: 5% accept, 25% waitlist
Stanford: 60% waitlist
Harvard: 1/3 accept, 1/3 waitlist
Berk: 70% accept
otherwise, express interest and you're in

58
Law School Applications / Re: The Chances Thread
« on: September 23, 2006, 09:35:07 PM »
Nonsense.

feel free to doubt, but I stand by my method.  I believe it's at least as accurate as the LSAC calculator

3.66 172 Chicago 95%
3.40 177 Chicago 10%

Seems odd to me.

look at LSN.  out of the 129 people with a 3.5 or below, Chicago only accepted 15.  15 / 129 = 11.6%.  subtract the people who have below 174, and you have 5 / 21 = 20%.  one of those is a URM, one was ED, and one had 5 years WE.  maybe I was a bit low, but it's unlikely.

meanwhile, of the 23 people with 3.6-3.7 and 171-173, 19 (82%) were accepted.  the only two people who were outright rejected had 171/3.62. 

I think this helps to prove that my method is better than common wisdom.

59
Law School Applications / Re: The Chances Thread
« on: September 23, 2006, 02:27:38 PM »
Nonsense.

feel free to doubt, but I stand by my method.  I believe it's at least as accurate as the LSAC calculator

60
Law School Applications / Re: The Chances Thread
« on: September 23, 2006, 02:26:00 PM »
Likelihood of UMich for a 3.43/168?

20% accept, 50% waitlist

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