« on: March 26, 2009, 06:29:51 PM »
To transfer you need good grades during your first year of law school. Your grades for the first year will rest almost entirely on 8 exams and a few papers. So by not retaking the LSAT you're basically assuming 1) I will be able to comprehend everything that's taught to me despite the fact it's probably an entirely new subject for me, which must be analyzed in an even more novel way, 2) I won't get sidetracked by a curveball question on any of these 8 exams, 3) my grade won't be adversely affected by failure to answer any question whilst cold-called, especially early in the semester when I haven't figured out how to answer that question, 4) I am smarter than almost everyone in a random sampling of 200-300 people who have my same credentials, and 5) no intangible factors (sickness, etc.) will work to contravene 1) and 2). My con law final, for example, took place in a blizzard and I think someone got into an accident and couldn't make it. A few kids came down with the flu.
Looking further down the road the picture gets worse. Law firms hire based on 1L grades. One of the critiques of the current collapse of the legal industry is that it took too many people from lower-ranked schools. So even if you transfer to a T1 from a T4, you'd have to assume that the folks doing the hiring will have changed their thinking, which basically means that you're assuming the economy will have drastically improved by the time your first year has ended.
A lawyer would never risk so much on so many assumptions, especially when it is so cheap, comparatively, to re-take the LSAT. In this job market, law school on a whole is dicey, and T4 without connections is suicide.