I fail see what somebody throwing out a yes, no, maybe so has to do with anything. Yea you have a good chance at this school, you have a so-so chance at that school. What is the point? To help you sleep better at night or something? reaffirm your own hunch? I have no problem with people asking. However, you asked for an opinion, and I gave you mine. Asking a bunch of your peers what your chances at x school is asinine. Either way, I wish you the best of luck with transferring.