Don't you think that that is part of the humor as well? Sometimes it's all in the timing.
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Looking at it from an unbiased perspective - my guess is Clinton v. Bush.
Why would you think that sanders won't get the liberal base? I think that it is the establishment democrats he needs to convince. Sanders will probably win the New Hampshire primary.
And I would ask you /as I ask everyone\ what if clinton ends up with serious legal issues because of her foundation, or her email situation, her poll numbers continue to tank and she has to suspend her campaign? After all it is not inconceivable.
I think something interesting is going on with party fragmentation.
As an independent this is going to be fun to watch. Swing states of course will be the ultimate obvious key and the primary voting states could lend momentum to any one candidate but I think outcomes will be static and two way three way ties on the republican side which will add a whimsy aspect-- thus the clown car moniker.
The major quirk on the democrats side is the fact that Clinton has many hoops to jump through if she wants to win because she needs ALL the souls at the polls -- has to have Obama turnouts if she is going to win the general. She will not turn voters. On the republican side if Paul can coalesce a majority of independents he could turn votes. A friend of mine who is anti war but independent only recently started taking Paul seriously. So, conviction is key if independents are to be swayed.
Clinton has oversaturation of familiarity while Paul is under recognized.
clinton is polarizing while Paul is less known but not unknown. These are their major flaws.
The clinton campaign has the toughest battle because while the money is there her surreptitious, furtive behavior with regard to a private email server create daily visceral baggage compounded by her comments while standing over four coffins and grieving loved ones where she blames a video for their deaths lends an aura of suspended apprehension for the next shoe to drop. So, whispers of corruption, secrecy and callousness erode away at the enthusiastic voter pool.
The fragmentation is within the Democratic Party and "dueling progressive agendas" and in the Republican Party between civil libertarianism and establishment conservatism.
One thing is for sure. I would not want to be a democrat hedging my bet with Hillary. And, democrats are never enthusiastic about getting stale bread elected just regard Michael Dukakis and John Kerry.
how many opportunities you going get for that one?
Cleaver by half.
Thank you, Groundhog.
Been busy for a while. Reading a great deal of the posts on this board and wonder if politics, sports, religion can be discussed in off topic or should I stick to news discussion. I'm a little cynical and I don't want to offend the sheep but don't mind mixing it up with those who discuss robustly.
« on: November 02, 2012, 05:49:31 PM »
This election looks like it will come down to ohio, florida and new hampshire. The most amusing part of this is the disconnection. The june, july, and august lead for the president is no longer a sure thing. His lead is in the hamper.
I think the obama campaign made a mistake by going negative.
Any thoughts on this?
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