I doubt Boxer will lose her seat against Fionia. The reason - too many people remember what a poor job she did as not only the CEO of HP, but for Lucent. Under her rein, she didn't make dollar one in real equity. In order to trump up the balance sheets at HP, she sold off prime stock and took a once great company and made it into a joke. It took Mark Hurd to put Humptey back together again.
Palin? There are a lot of very good and intelligent Republican's. There are even some fairly intelligent members of the Tea Party. I don't discount them as contenders. I do doubt Palin will be able to pull anything off as she has proven herself to be too much on the fringe. Some people might think that Palin is to the right as Obama is to the left. This may or may not be true. I don't think most educated people would say that Obama is a unintelligent man. I do think a great number of people think that of Palin. If the Republican's want to lose in 2012, just put Palin on the ticket. It will assure another 4 years of Obama. (not that this is a bad thing).