I think you may have a decent shot at Boalt. Your GPA is only .01 under their 25-75%, and your LSAT is 2 points over their median. That is about as good as it can get for a splitter.
The problem with Boalt is that 1) they're idiosyncratic with their admissions, and actually pretty hard to get into on a % basis. They're also very GPA focused, as noted, so if you don't have a 3.8, it's usually tough going, regardless of LSAT.
He should still apply, of course, but I think he'd actually have better odds at CCN, not to mention the other 14 schools.
They are very GPA based? So they don't accept people inside of their 25-75%? That does not make sense. The OP is .01 off of the 25-75%.
Anyway, the statement that Berkeley is GPA based is incorrect. Here is the Berkeley admissions index:
xLSAT - 0.871
xGPA - 23.487
Constant - 8.474
Total - 259.202
GPA% - 37.47%
The GPA% is 37.47, and even with the constant removed the GPA% is still less than 50%.
Anytime either of your numbers is below the 25%, you're pretty much in trouble, unless your other number is off the charts. This is especially true for Boalt, which appears to like to keep their GPA up around 3.8. (And it's relatively easy to find high GPA's, of course.)
This is what I mean by GPA focused -- while they may still weigh LSAT more heavily overall, they focus on GPA more than the other T14s, aside from HYS.
Factor in the fact that they're hard to get into anyway, on a percentage basis, and you can see why he'd have better odds at the other 7-14 schools, which focus more on LSAT.
Doesn't mean he shouldn't apply, just means he probably has better odds at other schools.
I agree. Being a splitter is not good at Florida International, much less Boalt. With that being said, the OP is not a splitter by much. Missing the 25% by .01 is a statistical fluke.
If the OP wants to go to Boalt I would suggest writing a bang up PS, an addendum about why he/she is a perfect match Boalt, use targeted LORs and that the OP will have a decent shot.